European Journal of Vascular & Endovascular Surgery
Volume 36, Issue 3 , Pages 258-264, September 2008

Carotid Stenting versus Carotid Endarterectomy: Evidence Basis and Cost Implications

  • M.P. Janssen

      Affiliations

    • Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands
    • Corresponding Author InformationCorresponding author. M.P. Janssen, MSc, University Medical Center Utrecht, Medical Technology Assessment Department, STR 6.131, P.O.-box 85 500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands. Tel.: +31 88 755 3246; fax: +31 88 755 5485.
  • ,
  • G.J. de Borst

      Affiliations

    • Department of Vascular Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands
  • ,
  • W.P.Th.M. Mali

      Affiliations

    • Department of Radiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands
  • ,
  • L.J. Kappelle

      Affiliations

    • Department of Neurology, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands
  • ,
  • F.L. Moll

      Affiliations

    • Department of Vascular Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands
  • ,
  • R.G.A. Ackerstaff

      Affiliations

    • Department of Clinical Neurophysiology, St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, The Netherlands
  • ,
  • P.M. Rothwell

      Affiliations

    • Department of Clinical Neurology, University of Oxford, UK, on behalf of the European Carotid Surgery Trialists' Collaborative Group
  • ,
  • M.M. Brown

      Affiliations

    • Institute of Neurology, University College London, UK, on behalf of the CAVATAS investigators
  • ,
  • M.R. van Sambeek

      Affiliations

    • Department of Vascular Surgery, Catharina Hospital Eindhoven, The Netherlands, on behalf of the EuroCAST Steering Committee
  • ,
  • E. Buskens

      Affiliations

    • Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands
    • MTA unit, Department of Clinical epidemiology, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, The Netherlands

Received 14 February 2008; accepted 17 May 2008. published online 24 July 2008.

Article Outline

Abstract 

Objective

Carotid Angioplasty combined with Stenting (CAS) is increasingly performed because of its presumed benefits. A study was performed to identify key factors that determine the cost-effectiveness as compared to conventional carotid endarterectomy (CEA).

Methods

The incremental cost-effectiveness of CAS over CEA for different scenarios was estimated using a modeling approach. Treatment costs were based on actual costs of successful procedures whereas costs of complications were taken from the literature. Patient survival was modeled using the endarterectomy patients from the ECST trial.

Results

Procedural costs of CAS are higher than those of CEA, mainly as a result of the high material costs. Cost-effectiveness of CAS primarily depends on major stroke rates. One percent increase in the peri-operative major stroke rate causes a cost increase of €1 051 and a loss of 0.06 quality adjusted life years.

Conclusions

At present CAS is at best non-inferior to CEA in terms of clinical outcome. Cost savings due to shorter admission are offset by the high costs associated with catheter-based interventions. At present CAS should be restricted to controlled settings until clinical trials have shown a substantial clinical benefit.

Keywords: Carotid arteries, Angioplasty, Stenting, Surgery, Cost-effectiveness

 

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Introduction 

Stroke is among the most disabling chronic diseases and one of the major causes of death in the Western world. In the Netherlands, with a population of 16 million inhabitants, around 12 per 1000 inhabitants suffer a stroke. In 2005 over 10 000 people died as a result of stroke representing 7.6% of all deaths.1 The benefit of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) over the best medical treatment has been clearly demonstrated in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis.2, 3 The risk of stroke or death for symptomatic patients with severe stenosis within 30 days of CEA was 6.8% in ECST and 5.8% in NASCET. Carotid angioplasty combined with stenting (CAS) is another treatment option.4, 5 Theoretical advantages of CAS include a reduced morbidity rate, reduced overall cost, shortened hospitalization, and improved long-term patency rates. These thus far unsubstantiated claims require vigorous scrutiny before implementing CAS as an acceptable alternative to CEA.

At present, clinical trial results are showing equal or inferior results in terms of technical success and clinical outcome of CAS compared to CEA. Moreover, two recent trials comparing CAS and CEA were stopped because of poor angioplasty results.6, 7 Another trial stopped after interim results failed to prove the non-inferiority of CAS over CEA.8

Limited data are available on the health economic impact of CAS. Inconsistent conclusions regarding the cost benefits or positive health effects of the stenting procedure have been reported.9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16

To obtain a clear answer to these urgent questions regarding the merits of CAS, we developed a comprehensive Markov type decision model. Our goals were to exploit the currently available evidence and insights to evaluate the balance between cost and effects of CAS versus CEA, and to obtain insight in the main drivers of cost-effectiveness.

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Materials and Methods 

Cost-effectiveness model 

A simulation model previously developed to describe the course of symptomatic carotid artery stenosis was adapted to comprise CAS as a treatment option.17 Within this Markov model four different health states were defined, i.e., healthy (recently symptomatic), minor stroke, major stroke and death. Each individual starts off in the healthy recently symptomatic state and may transfer to one of the subsequent states. The impact of these transitions in terms of health effects is accounted for by means of utility scores. The actual utility values for the different health states were based on previous publications.18, 19 Multiplication of survival time with the pertaining utility yields an estimate of so called Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). Long-term survival was modeled using the ECST trial data.

Outcomes 

Peri-operative survival after CEA was modeled using the ECST (>70% stenosis) and the Cochrane review data.3, 20 For CAS the global survey by Wholey and the results from Cochrane review were used.5, 20 Only studies that treated symptomatic patients were included from the Cochrane review. In absence of actual data or evidence with regard to long-term clinical outcome and re-intervention rates after CAS at the outset we conservatively assumed these would be similar regardless of the initial procedure.

Cost estimates 

Procedural costs of CAS and CEA were obtained by analyzing the resources used and operative procedures performed in the University Medical Center Utrecht (UMCU) and the St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands. Costs were calculated for procedures without complications and based on 26 procedures for CEA and 11 procedures for CAS. Costs of materials used for CAS were based on 27 procedures. CEA was performed under general anesthesia in an operating theatre with a staff of eight. Intracranial circulation was monitored intra-operatively using transcranial Doppler (TCD) and electroencephalography (EEG). On average, patients were discharged 4 days after surgery, with a total of 5 hospitalization days. CAS was performed in an angio-room with only six staff. During CAS use of cerebral protection was left at the discretion of the attending interventionist. Patients were discharged the day after the intervention, with a total of 2 hospitalization days. For both procedures recovery took place in a medium care unit.

Cost estimates associated with acute minor or major stroke and cost of hospital stay were based on available Dutch literature.21, 22 The follow-up costs of stroke patients (such as costs of rehabilitation, nursing home, physical therapy) were also estimated based on published data.23, 24, 25 All costs used were adjusted to the 2003 price level using a health care price index published by Statistics Netherlands. Costs and health effects were discounted at an annual discount rate of 4%.26

Scenario and sensitivity analyses 

To assess whether the balance between costs and effects of CAS compared to CEA would turn out differently with different assumptions, i.e., under different scenarios, we used complication rates from published case series (combined in the global CAS registry) and randomized controlled trials. In our analyses complication rates and procedural costs were varied and their impact on the cost-effectiveness evaluated. In the sensitivity analyses changes in costs and effects as a function of peri-operative complication and re-operation rates were assessed.

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Results 

Peri-operative complication rates for CEA and CAS including their 95% confidence intervals from both sources are shown in Fig. 1. Fig. 2 shows the cost breakdown for both CEA and CAS. Detailed information on the cost per procedure is provided in Table 1. A CAS procedure on average costs €1 488 more than a CEA procedure. A major part of the cost of the endarterectomy procedure is attributable to hospitalization. An average of 5.7 hospitalization days after CEA accounts for one third of the total procedural cost. The costs of the stenting procedure can for a major part be attributed to costs of materials used during the intervention. The stents, catheters, and cerebral protection device (CPD) account for two thirds of the total costs of the procedure. The CPD accounts for one fifth of the total CAS procedural costs.

Table 1. Cost breakdown of CAS and CEA
Cost categoryCosts (€)
CASCEA
Personnel (number of)326 831
Radiology assistant (2) 86
TCD operator 30 53
Interventional radiologist (2) 164
Neurophysiologist 46 83
Nurse (2) 134
Anesthetist nurse 67
Anesthetist 165
Vascular surgeon (2) 330
Materials3 088 453
Stent 1 132
Other materials 920
Protective device 1 029
Anesthesia 6 219
Materials used 234
Overheads756 453
Investment and maintenance 124 125
Cleaning 2 9
Housing 33 105
Social affairs 14 36
Purchasing 182 27
Other overheads 400 150
Diagnostics587 567
Laboratory 89 69
Cost duplex and MRA 498 498
Recovery and hospital stay743 1 708
Recovery 213 315
Nursing 530 1 394

TOTAL COST5 500 4 012

Using the peri-operative complication rates from Fig. 1 and data from Table 1, Table 2, the cost-effectiveness of CAS over CEA was calculated over a 10 year time period for both the Cochrane review results (Scenario 1) and for the ECST patients versus the Wholey global CAS registry (Scenario 2). The estimated cost-effectiveness for each scenario is marked in Fig. 3, together with a 95% confidence region surrounding the estimates.

Table 2. Main model parameters
DescriptionUnitsMean value
Complication rates
Probability of technical failure during CAS5Probability1.11%
Re-operation rate post CAS32per year0.68%
Re-operation rate post CEA3per year0.09%
Post operative major stroke rate3per year0.43%
Post operative minor stroke rate3per year0.66%
Myocardial infarction rate3per year1.59%

Survival parameters
Death hazard ratio given stroke3-/-2.07
Death hazard ratio given disabling stroke3-/-6.05
Death hazard ratio given myocardial infarction3-/-2.09
Death hazard ratio given myocardial infarction and stroke3-/-3.09

Probability of death within 6 months after peri-operative disabling stroke3Probability9.30%
Probability of death after disabling stroke3Probability30.8%
Probability of death after myocardial infarction3Probability22.6%

Cost parameters
Cost myocardial infarction33€/Event15 000
Cost acute major stroke22€/Event25 769
Cost major stoke follow up (1st 6 months)22€/6 months18 781
Cost major stoke follow up (after 6 months)21, 23, 24€/6 months8 017
Cost major stoke on death within 6 months22€/Event7 779
Cost minor stoke follow up (1st 6 months) 22€/6 months5 556
Cost minor stoke on death within 6 months22€/Event4 146

Utility parameters
Myocardial infarction18QALYs per year0.88
Minor stroke19QALYs per year0.65
Major stroke19QALYs per year0.15
DeathQALYs per year0.00

For each scenario the differences in costs are indicated on the vertical axis and the differences in QALYs on the horizontal axis. If the procedural costs for CAS become less, or the number of complications decrease, resulting in QALYs gained, the cost-effectiveness point estimate will move towards the lower right quadrant and the CAS procedure is to be preferred. Any point below the diagonal line indicating the cost-effectiveness (CE) threshold, i.e., the amount society would be willing to spend in order to gain one QALY, indicates that CAS compared to CEA is cost-effective and CAS is to be preferred (as indicated by the arrow). Conversely, any point above this line indicates that CAS is not cost-effective.

Uncertainty with respect to different model parameters on the cost-effectiveness outcome can be evaluated by means of simulation. The analyses show that even though the point estimate of Scenario 2 (Wholey versus ECST) indicates CAS to be cost-effective, there would still be a 6.7% chance that the parameter in fact lies above the cost-effectiveness threshold (Fig. 3). Notably, based on Scenario 1 (outcome of the Cochrane review) we estimated that there is a 0.3% chance that in fact CAS is cost-effective.

The results of the sensitivity analyses are shown in Table 3. Here the changes in costs and QALYs per percent change in peri-operative complication rate are presented. In assessing the impact of procedural costs, we particularly looked at the procedural costs for CAS by assuming that the use of a CPD would be optional, i.e., may or may not be used. Without use of a CPD, costs of the CAS procedure decrease by 20%. Leaving out the CPD would move all the estimates in Fig. 3 down €1 077 in the cost-effectiveness plane. The cost impact for TCD use was shown to be marginal. Clearly, peri-procedural major stroke and death rates after CAS were the major (clinical) contributors to the differences in costs and effects.

Table 3. Change in costs and effects per percent increase in complication or re-intervention rates
DescriptionCost (€)Quality adjusted life years
Re-intervention CAS361−0.010
Peri-operative minor stroke rate59−0.028
Peri-operative major stroke rate1 051−0.059
Peri-operative death rate−42−0.068

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Discussion 

Our analyses show that the costs associated with CAS are considerably higher than those of CEA. For CAS to become cost-effective there should be a clear clinical benefit over CEA. This benefit should both from a clinician's and a health economic point of view show up as a reduced number of major strokes or deaths, as these complications have the highest impact on health and cost. However, given the presently available evidence there is a considerable likelihood that CAS is not presently cost-effective.20 Moreover, two European randomized clinical trials comparing the effectiveness of CAS to CEA were stopped early because of the high complication rates in the stenting arm.6, 7 The results of these trials are in marked contrast with the initial case series published, once again endorsing that one should be very careful with interpretation and drawing critical conclusions from the latter.

With regard to costs, the standard hospitalization was considered 5 days for CEA (including the intervention day) which was significantly longer compared with our CAS group (5 vs 2 days). This reflects the rather conservative practice in the Netherlands at the time of data collection (2003). Interestingly, several authors have reported on cost reducing measures for CEA by operating in a day care setting. Our current practice guidelines include a next-day discharge for both CEA and CAS patients. Also, reducing ICU cost and utilizing regional anesthesia are measures that have been proposed for cost reduction.27, 28, 29 A reduction in hospitalization time by three days would reduce the cost of a CEA procedure by €740 (a decrease of 18% in procedural costs). Clearly, these cost-reductions for CEA would require further clinical benefits and reduction in material cost for CAS to become a cost-effective alternative to CEA: it would move both estimates shown in Fig. 3 up over a distance of €740 along the vertical axis. This would further reduce the likelihood of CAS being cost-effective.

The confidence intervals (CI) of the peri-operative major stroke rates (the complication with the highest impact on the cost-effectiveness outcome) from ECST are more than 4% (Fig. 1). Looking at the impact of this variability in terms of cost and effects (€4 200 and 0.24 QALY, four times the values shown in Table 3) it is clear that there is insufficient evidence at present to accurately estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness of CAS over CEA. However, even though the exact estimate is uncertain, Fig. 3 indicates that on basis of the trial data CAS is clearly not cost-effective. On the other hand, if complication rates could for example be proven to be as low as reported by Wholey, CAS could become a (cost-)effective alternative to CEA. However, we suggest interpreting this scenario with extreme caution as such results are contradicted with current trial evidence: the most recent results from the EVA-3S and SPACE trials (both included in the Cochrane review) point in quite the opposite direction.7, 8 Note also, that all results presented thus far pertain to short-term outcomes. Our simulation model showed a high sensitivity to post intervention complication rates, a topic that has so far received only limited attention when comparing the effectiveness of CAS with CEA.30 The major randomized trials on carotid angioplasty are CAVATAS, EVA-3S, SPACE, CREST and ICSS (CAVATAS-2) will have to focus on this issue.31 It will, however, take years before the (long-term) results of these studies will become available.

To our knowledge, only few studies have investigated the cost differential between CEA and CAS (Table 4). Most studies are in line with our findings and indicate a higher cost associated with CAS.9, 12, 14, 15, 16 In all of these studies the stent and CPD costs clearly surpassed the personnel and additional costs. With more competitive devices being approved for this condition, it may be that these high costs will to some extent decrease in the near future. We also identified, two studies that could not demonstrate a statistically significant difference in cost between CAS and CEA. Both studies did not include the routine use of distal CPD, however.10, 13 One study, by Gray et al. actually reported lower costs associated with CAS vs CEA.11 This study also did not include the routine use of CPD. As shown in Table 4, most reports on cost-effectiveness of CAS were single center studies with small sample sizes. This and other drawbacks such as use of tariffs would appear to suggest that our study is the first to adequately analyze net costs using outcome data from the large randomized controlled trials on CAS versus CEA.

Table 4. Observational studies comparing costs of carotid angioplasty (and stenting) versus carotid endarterectomy
Author/yearOriginIntervention (# patients)ObjectiveConclusion
Jordan 19989Single centerCEA(130) vs PTA (109)In-hospital costsPTA higher costs
Brooks 200110Single centerCEA (51) vs CAS (53)In-hospital costs and follow-up (2 years)CAS slightly higher costs
Gray 200211Single centerCEA (136) vs CAS (136)In-hospital costs and follow-up (2 years)CEA higher costs
Kilaru 200312Single center+LiteratureCEA (447) vs LiteratureIn-hospital costs and follow-upCAS higher costs
Ecker 200413Single centerCEA (391) vs CAS (46)In-hospital costsNo cost advantage for either procedure
Park 200614Single centerCEA (48) vs CAS (46)In-hospital costsCAS higher costs
Pawaskar 200715Single centerCEA (31) vs CAS (31)In-hospital costsCAS higher costs
Wolf 200716Single centerCEA (30) vs CAS (30)In-hospital costsCAS higher costs

There are some limitations inherent to the present study. Ours is a modeling study, which as a result relies on several assumptions and model parameters that as such may give rise to discussion. We feel, however, that we have carefully presented and discussed these assumptions and, moreover, have evaluated the impact on the results of our analyses.

We believe our findings suggest that CAS should be considered experimental, especially as long-term safety and durability are yet another source of concern and uncertainty. Any difference in stroke incidence, either because of re-stenosis or re-intervention, will have a major impact on long-term procedural (cost-) effectiveness. Clinicians and policy makers will hopefully recognize their responsibility to keep enrolling patients in the ongoing trials and not to use CAS ‘off-label’.

In conclusion, at present CAS is at best non-inferior to CEA in terms of clinical outcome. The cost savings due to shorter admission are offset by the high costs associated with catheter-based interventions. CAS has to be advised against in routine practice for patients with severe symptomatic carotid artery stenosis and should be restricted to controlled settings until clinical trials have shown a substantial clinical benefit.

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Acknowledgements 

We thank B.C. Eikelboom for his support as a member of the steering group and B.A. van Hout for providing assistance with the development of the cost-effectiveness model.

We would like to thank the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development (ZonMw) for funding this research project.

Marc van Sambeek is on an advisory board for Medtronic, Martin Brown obtained research grants for CAVATAS from the European Union, Sanofi-Synthélabo, the Stroke Association and the Medical Research Council (UK). His chair in Stroke Medicine is supported by the Reta Lila Weston Trust for Medical Research.

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PII: S1078-5884(08)00290-6

doi:10.1016/j.ejvs.2008.05.008

European Journal of Vascular & Endovascular Surgery
Volume 36, Issue 3 , Pages 258-264, September 2008